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–Sarah Knapton, The Daily Telegraph, 24 November 2016 1) Antarctic Sea Ice Has Not Shrunk In 100 Years, Scott And Shackleton Logbooks Prove The Daily Telegraph, 24 November 20162) Trump To Scrap NASA Climate Research In Crackdown On ‘Politicized Science’ The Guardian, 23 November 20163) GWPF Climate Briefing: A Brief History Of Arctic Angst GWPF Climate Briefing, November 20164) Reality Check: Donald Trump On Climategate & The Paris Agreement GWPF, 23 November 2016 5) Bjorn Lomborg: Trump’s Climate Plan Might Not Be So Bad After All The Washington Post, 21 November 2016 In 2009, Al Gore announced ‘there is a 75 per cent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during the summer months, could be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years.’ The dates by which climate scientists and politicians said the ice would disappear have come and gone, while the ice has remained.
Undaunted, fresh predictions have been made in every subsequent year.
—GWPF Climate Briefing, November 2016 Donald Trump plans to put NASA’s focus back on space exploration and cut away programs that study climate change.
Bob Walker, an adviser to Trump, told The Guardian that the incoming president wants to keep NASA away from ‘politicized science.’ Other government agencies can take on climate research, he said.
It also explains why sea ice levels in the South Pole have begun to rise again in recent years, a trend which has left climate scientists scratching their heads.
“The missions of Scott and Shackleton are remembered in history as heroic failures, yet the data collected by these and other explorers could profoundly change the way we view the ebb and flow of Antarctic sea ice,” said Dr Jonathan Day, who led the study, which was published in the journal The Cryosphere.
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Until the noise of a century of media hype and unscientific speculation about the Arctic has been removed from the public debate, science will be unable to explain what, if anything, the signal from the Arctic is telling us.“If ice levels were as low a century ago as estimated in this research, then a similar increase may have occurred between then and the middle of the century, when previous studies suggest ice levels were far higher.” The study was based on the ice observations recorded in the logbooks from 11 voyages between 18, including three expeditions led by Captain Scott, two by Shackleton, as well as sea-ice records from Belgian, German and French missions.Captain Scott died along with his team in 1912 after losing to Norwegian Roald Amundsen in the race to the South Pole, while Shackleton’s ship sank after becoming trapped in ice in 1915 as he and his crew attempted the first land crossing of Antarctica.Trump’s promise to dump Paris will matter very little to temperature rises, and it will stop the pursuit of an expensive dead end.–Bjorn Lomborg, The Washington Post, 21 November 2016 1) Antarctic Sea Ice Has Not Shrunk In 100 Years, Scott And Shackleton Logbooks Prove The Daily Telegraph, 24 November 2016 Sarah Knapton Antarctic sea ice had barely changed from where it was 100 years ago, scientists have discovered, after pouring over the logbooks of great polar explorers such as Robert Falcon Scott and Ernest Shackleton.“We know that sea ice in the Antarctic has increased slightly over the past 30 years, since satellite observations began.Scientists have been grappling to understand this trend in the context of global warming, but these new findings suggest it may not be anything new.However, evidence of the presence and nature of sea ice was often recorded during early Antarctic exploration, though these sources have not previously been explored or exploited until now.We have analysed observations of the summer sea ice edge from the ship logbooks of explorers such as Robert Falcon Scott, Ernest Shackleton and their contemporaries during the (1897–1917), and in this study we compare these to satellite observations from the period 1989–2014, offering insight into the ice conditions of this period, from direct observations, for the first time.We have much to learn about the new administration’s plans.But what little we know offers some cause for hope.